{"id":2870,"date":"2024-06-21T19:29:03","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T17:29:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rouillier.com\/wordpress-socioeco\/?p=2870"},"modified":"2024-06-21T19:29:06","modified_gmt":"2024-06-21T17:29:06","slug":"la-dissolution-un-bien-ou-un-mal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rouillier.com\/wordpress-socioeco\/la-dissolution-un-bien-ou-un-mal\/","title":{"rendered":"La dissolution, un bien ou un mal\u00a0?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Le bien ou le mal, comme dirai l\u2019autre \u00ab \u00e7a d\u00e9pend du c\u00f4t\u00e9 auquel on se place par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019id\u00e9e qu\u2019on s\u2019en fait !<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notre pr\u00e9sident a choisi de dissoudre l\u2019assembl\u00e9e nationale \u00e0 la suite du  r\u00e9sultat  d\u00e9cevant pour lui des \u00e9lections Europ\u00e9ennes. Depuis, l\u2019ensemble de la classe politique et l\u2019opinion publique ne cessent de gloser sa d\u00e9cision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sans prendre parti pour ou contre cette d\u00e9cision certains commentaires s\u2019imposent<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. On s\u2019int\u00e9resse beaucoup aux cons\u00e9quences de cette d\u00e9cision, fallait-il, fallait-il pas, ou vat-on, que faire? Peu sont ceux qui s\u2019interrogent sur ce qui se serait pass\u00e9 en l\u2019absence de dissolution.
    Rappelons que l\u2019une de des obsessions de E. Macron et de ne pas quitter la sc\u00e8ne politique en laissant le R.N. au pouvoir\u00a0! C\u2019es selon cet axe que l\u2019on peut analyser la strat\u00e9gie Macronni\u00e8ne.
    En l\u2019absence d\u2019une dissolution le gouvernement (peut \u00eatre l\u00e9g\u00e8rement remani\u00e9)et la chambre n\u2019auraient pas chang\u00e9s. La population aurait r\u00e9clam\u00e9 du changement en raison de la forte pouss\u00e9e populiste des r\u00e9centes \u00e9lections. Le gouvernement de plus en plus d\u00e9cri\u00e9 aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 dans l\u2019incapacit\u00e9 de gouverner accentuant le m\u00e9contentement. Les partis auraient r\u00e9clam\u00e9s, \u00e0 corps et \u00e0 cris une dissolution de la chambre. Ce chaos aurait fait le lit du R.N. parti majoritaire qui aurait fait un raz de mar\u00e9e aux \u00e9lections de 2027 gagnant la pr\u00e9sidence et la chambre.
    Tout ce que Macron voulait \u00e9viter par-dessus tout. On peut donc penser que du c\u00f4t\u00e9 Macronnien le pire \u00a0a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9vit\u00e9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Apr\u00e8s dissolution si le R.N. obtient une majorit\u00e9 absolue J.Bardella aura 2 ans pour mener librement sa politique, vraisemblablement ruineuse, et d\u00e9montrer que les Fran\u00e7ais seront toujours insatisfaits (vue qu\u2019ils r\u00e9clament ce qu\u2019aucun gouvernement ne peut donner\u00a0!). Le R.N. se trouvera en position difficile pour les \u00e9lections de 2027. Encore une fois la strat\u00e9gie Macronni\u00e8nne aura port\u00e9 ses fruits.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. Si aux \u00e9lection le R.N. ne dispose que d\u2019une majorit\u00e9 relative, J.Bardella s\u2019\u00e9clipse et laisse n\u2019importe qui devenir premier ministre, C\u2019est les d\u00e9put\u00e9s du centre qui, m\u00eame minoritaires, jouent les arbitre \u00e0 la chambre. Ce \u00ab\u00a0refus de l\u2019obstacle\u00a0\u00bb de J.Bardella risque de d\u00e9cevoir les \u00e9lecteur qui avaient mis leur confiance en lui. La France \u00e9tant ingouvernable la d\u00e9ception est grande et le R.N. en portera une lourde part de responsabilit\u00e9. Le R.N. est en difficult\u00e9 pour les \u00e9lections de 2027.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. Si le \u00ab\u00a0Front populaire\u00a0\u00bb obtient une majorit\u00e9 \u00e0 la chambre (relative ou absolue) c\u2019est la gauche qui endosse la responsabilit\u00e9 des affaires. Elle applique ou ne peut appliquer son programme (le centre reste l\u2019arbitre) et se discr\u00e9dite aux yeux de l\u2019opinion. La gauche et le centre sont responsable et on assiste en 2027 \u00e0 une victoire \u00e9clatante de R.N.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    On voit qu\u2019il s\u2019agit d\u2019un jeu \u00e0 \u00ab qui perd gagne ! \u00bb Le pouvoir est un mistigri qu\u2019il faut \u00e9viter avant tout. Qui gagne les l\u00e9gislatives risque de perdre la pr\u00e9sidentielle. Macron a tent\u00e9 un \u00ab coup de billard \u00e0 trois bandes \u00bb ce qui est hautement risqu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Dans son propre int\u00e9r\u00eat, et pour satisfaire son ego il a tent\u00e9 ce coup de poker, mais il a entrain\u00e9 la nation dans une spirale de chaos tr\u00e8s dangereuse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Aurai-t-on un jour un rem\u00e8de contre le \u00ab gonflement des ego des politiques \u00bb ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    j\u2019en doute fort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    P.S. Ces hypoth\u00e8ses ne prennent pas en compte une \u00e9ventuelle d\u00e9mission de E. Macron,  ni celle d\u2019un coup de force du R.N. s\u2019il \u00e9tait au pouvoir<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Le bien ou le mal, comme dirai l\u2019autre \u00ab \u00e7a d\u00e9pend du c\u00f4t\u00e9 auquel on se place par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019id\u00e9e qu\u2019on s\u2019en fait ! \u00bb Notre pr\u00e9sident a choisi de dissoudre l\u2019assembl\u00e9e nationale \u00e0 la suite du  r\u00e9sultat  d\u00e9cevant pour lui des \u00e9lections Europ\u00e9ennes. Depuis, l\u2019ensemble de la classe politique et l\u2019opinion publique ne cessent de gloser […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":256,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gene"],"yoast_head":"\nLa dissolution, un bien ou un mal\u00a0? -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rouillier.com\/wordpress-socioeco\/la-dissolution-un-bien-ou-un-mal\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La dissolution, un bien ou un mal\u00a0? -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le bien ou le mal, comme dirai l\u2019autre \u00ab \u00e7a d\u00e9pend du c\u00f4t\u00e9 auquel on se place par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019id\u00e9e qu\u2019on s\u2019en fait ! \u00bb Notre pr\u00e9sident a choisi de dissoudre l\u2019assembl\u00e9e nationale \u00e0 la suite du  r\u00e9sultat  d\u00e9cevant pour lui des \u00e9lections Europ\u00e9ennes. 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