{"id":2691,"date":"2021-11-06T09:05:36","date_gmt":"2021-11-06T08:05:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.rouillier.com\/wordpress-philopsycho\/?p=2691"},"modified":"2021-11-06T09:05:37","modified_gmt":"2021-11-06T08:05:37","slug":"certitudes-et-incertitudes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rouillier.com\/wordpress-philopsycho\/certitudes-et-incertitudes\/","title":{"rendered":"Certitudes et incertitudes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents articles j\u2019ai eu l\u2019occasion de parler de l\u2019influence des certitudes et des incertitudes sur les comportements humains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>La certitude<\/strong> correspond \u00e0 une structure mentale rigide, sans nuances, manich\u00e9enne, sans capacit\u00e9 de n\u00e9gociations. Toute remise en cause et ni\u00e9e car la structure fig\u00e9e ne peut admettre de modifications. Elle enferme l\u2019individu dans un \u00ab&nbsp;Ghetto&nbsp;\u00bb de personnes ayant les m\u00eames convictions. Elle m\u00e8ne au narcissisme et en cas de contradiction \u00e0 la parano\u00efa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>L\u2019incertitude<\/strong> est g\u00e9n\u00e9ratrice d\u2019angoisse, d\u2019anxi\u00e9t\u00e9. Incapable de se forger les rep\u00e8res stabilisant l\u2019individu reste dans un doute permanent sans pouvoir en sortir. Il a un comportement pusillanime, flottant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019\u00eatre humain se d\u00e9bat entre ces deux extr\u00e9mit\u00e9s. La certitude qui est s\u00e9curisante mais scl\u00e9rosante et l\u2019incertitude angoissante mais ouverte sur les autres<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Prenons l\u2019exemple de la campagne de vaccination<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\" type=\"1\"><li>Nous sommes en pr\u00e9sence d\u2019un virus inconnu, dont on conna\u00eet \u00e0 peine le mode de transmission (on ne conna\u00eet toujours pas la gen\u00e8se de la pand\u00e9mie), contre lequel on n\u2019a aucun traitement. C\u2019est une situation d\u2019incertitude totale devant un danger, in\u00e9vitablement g\u00e9n\u00e9ratrice d\u2019angoisse.<\/li><li>Plusieurs laboratoires mettent au point des vaccins donn\u00e9s pour efficaces ce qui pourrait \u00eatre un point d\u2019ancrage pour une perception s\u00e9curisante de la situation.<\/li><li>Les personnes \u00e0 conscience rigide, hostiles \u00e0 toute situation incertaine, recherchent \u00e0 tout prix une voie de s\u00e9curisation, un positionnement stable. La seule option parfaitement d\u00e9termin\u00e9 qui leur est offerte c\u2019est le d\u00e9ni. Ils nient la pand\u00e9mie, nient l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 du vaccin. Pour justifier cette position insoutenable ils invoquent des mensonges d\u2019\u00e9tat, des complots, le danger d\u2019une m\u00e9dication nouvelle. Ils ont maintenant leur \u00e9criture de l\u2019histoire qui l\u00e9gitime leur position. Ils s\u2019arc-boutent sur leur argumentation et les voil\u00e0 dans une position s\u00e9curisante parce que clairement tranch\u00e9e. Ils n\u2019ont aucune confiance dans les sp\u00e9cialistes mais ils font confiance en leur jugement, Ce qui d\u00e9note un certain narcissisme.<\/li><li>Pour les personnes \u00e0 conscience mal d\u00e9finies, c\u2019est le doute qui l\u2019emporte. Pand\u00e9mie ou pas pand\u00e9mie, vaccin efficace ou non, vaccin dangereux ou non&nbsp;! \u00ab&nbsp;Dans le doute abstient toi&nbsp;\u00bb, ils restent dans l\u2019expectative. Leur r\u00e9ponse est&nbsp;:&nbsp;\u00ab&nbsp;J\u2019attends&nbsp;\u00bb. Si on leur pose la question&nbsp;:&nbsp;\u00ab&nbsp;Qu\u2019est-ce que tu attends&nbsp;? \u00bb ils n\u2019ont pas d\u2019autre r\u00e9ponse que \u00ab&nbsp;j\u2019attends de voir&nbsp;\u00bb Ce qui n\u2019est pas vraiment une r\u00e9ponse et surtout ce n\u2019est pas un positionnement par rapport \u00e0 la situation. Toute question sans r\u00e9ponse claire pose probl\u00e8me&nbsp;!<\/li><li>Entre ces deux extr\u00eames on trouve une majorit\u00e9 de Fran\u00e7ais qui eux aussi doutent (ce qui est une position tout \u00e0 fait raisonnable&nbsp;!) mais qui font le choix d\u2019une autre solution. Ils admettent que le probl\u00e8me les d\u00e9passe et se retournent vers des personnes en qui il peuvent avoir une certaine confiance&nbsp;: M\u00e9decins, Virologues, \u00c9pid\u00e9miologies, Gouvernants. Il ne s\u2019agit pas d\u2019une confiance absolue mais de s\u2019en remettre \u00e0 des personnes qui pr\u00e9sentent une certaine cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 leurs yeux. Le doute (raisonnable) n\u2019emp\u00eache pas la confiance, selon le vieil adage&nbsp;:&nbsp;\u00ab&nbsp;Une mauvaise d\u00e9cision vaut mieux que pas de d\u00e9cision du tout&nbsp;\u00bb<\/li><li>Les personnes \u00e0 conscience rigide ou mal d\u00e9finie vivent sur la peur. Celle de se remettre en cause et de se d\u00e9stabiliser pour les premi\u00e8re, la peur des cons\u00e9quences d\u2019une mauvaise d\u00e9cision pour les seconde<br>\u00ab&nbsp;La peur est toujours mauvaise conseill\u00e8re&nbsp;\u00bb.<br>Ces \u00ab&nbsp;fameux rebelles&nbsp;\u00bb sont plut\u00f4t des gens qui ont peur de la vie&nbsp;!<\/li><\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents articles j\u2019ai eu l\u2019occasion de parler de l\u2019influence des certitudes et des incertitudes sur les comportements humains. La certitude correspond \u00e0 une structure mentale rigide, sans nuances, manich\u00e9enne, sans capacit\u00e9 de n\u00e9gociations. Toute remise en cause et ni\u00e9e car la structure fig\u00e9e ne peut admettre de modifications. Elle enferme l\u2019individu dans un [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":256,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[181,373],"class_list":["post-2691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-psycho","tag-certitude","tag-incertitude"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Certitudes et incertitudes -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rouillier.com\/wordpress-philopsycho\/certitudes-et-incertitudes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Certitudes et incertitudes -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dans des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents articles j\u2019ai eu l\u2019occasion de parler de l\u2019influence des certitudes et des incertitudes sur les comportements humains. 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